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Bayesian investigation of SARS-CoV-2-related mortality in France
Louis Duchemin, Philippe Veber, Bastien Boussau

Recommended by Valery Forbes based on reviews by Wayne Landis and 1 anonymous reviewer
Modeling the effect of lockdown and other events on the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in France

This study [1] used Bayesian models of the number of deaths through time across different regions of France to explore the effects of lockdown and other events (i.e., holding elections) on the dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. The models accurately predicted the number of deaths 2 to 3 weeks in advance, and results were similar to other recent models using different structure and input data. Viral reproduction numbers were not found to be different between weekends and week days, and there wa...